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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 25.2 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro 2–1 RB Bragantino | 1.41–0.82 | 51% · 27% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Bahia 1–2 Cuiaba | 0.92–1.17 | 29% · 30% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Cuiaba |
| Juventude 1–1 Atlético Mineiro | 0.88–1.77 | 18% · 23% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Atlético Mineiro had 58% |
| Corinthians 2–1 Criciuma | 0.72–1.18 | 23% · 31% · 47% | Won against the xG: Corinthians |
| Atletico Goianiense 0–1 Vasco da Gama | 0.90–1.19 | 28% · 30% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Sao Paulo 1–0 Gremio | 0.88–1.48 | 22% · 26% · 51% | Won against the xG: Sao Paulo |
| Botafogo 1–0 Palmeiras | 1.77–1.29 | 49% · 23% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Fortaleza EC 3–1 Vitoria | 2.02–1.27 | 55% · 21% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Fluminense 1–0 Athletico Paranaense | 1.70–0.56 | 65% · 23% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Internacional 1–1 Flamengo | 1.55–1.72 | 35% · 23% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.