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10 of 10 matches with xG: 17 goals from 20.6 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo 2–1 Criciuma | 2.49–1.23 | 65% · 18% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Botafogo 1–0 Internacional | 0.53–0.74 | 23% · 40% · 36% | Close call, Botafogo won |
| Palmeiras 2–0 Cruzeiro | 1.32–0.55 | 56% · 29% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Gremio 2–0 Vitoria | 1.36–0.16 | 69% · 27% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Atlético Mineiro 2–0 Vasco da Gama | 2.22–0.61 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Bahia 0–1 Corinthians | 1.37–0.31 | 64% · 27% · 8% | Won against the xG: Corinthians |
| RB Bragantino 1–0 Athletico Paranaense | 0.82–1.48 | 21% · 26% · 53% | Won against the xG: RB Bragantino |
| Fortaleza EC 3–1 Atletico Goianiense | 1.57–0.67 | 59% · 25% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Juventude 0–0 Sao Paulo | 0.77–0.49 | 39% · 40% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cuiaba 0–1 Fluminense | 0.64–1.29 | 18% · 29% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.