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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 23.0 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras 0–2 Vitoria | 0.79–0.63 | 36% · 38% · 26% | Close call, Vitoria won |
| Juventude 1–2 Criciuma | 0.47–1.68 | 10% · 23% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Criciuma |
| Bahia 1–1 Internacional | 0.86–1.52 | 21% · 26% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Internacional had 53% |
| Botafogo 0–3 Cruzeiro | 2.19–0.63 | 73% · 17% · 9% | Won against the xG: Cruzeiro |
| Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sao Paulo | 1.33–0.61 | 54% · 29% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| RB Bragantino 0–1 Fluminense | 0.42–0.83 | 18% · 40% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Flamengo 2–0 Atletico Goianiense | 1.29–0.44 | 58% · 29% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Gremio 1–0 Vasco da Gama | 1.80–0.88 | 59% · 23% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Atlético Mineiro 2–1 Corinthians | 1.93–1.12 | 56% · 22% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Cuiaba 1–2 Athletico Paranaense | 1.51–2.09 | 28% · 21% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.