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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 27.9 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria 1–0 Cuiaba | 1.87–0.79 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Vitoria |
| Vasco da Gama 2–2 RB Bragantino | 0.75–1.38 | 20% · 28% · 52% | Draw against the xG: RB Bragantino had 52% |
| Atletico Goianiense 1–4 Botafogo | 1.25–3.09 | 12% · 14% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Criciuma 2–1 Atlético Mineiro | 1.67–1.35 | 45% · 24% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Criciuma |
| Sao Paulo 1–0 Flamengo | 1.42–0.30 | 66% · 26% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Fluminense 1–0 Bahia | 1.06–1.73 | 23% · 24% · 53% | Won against the xG: Fluminense |
| Corinthians 1–1 Juventude | 2.37–0.74 | 74% · 16% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Corinthians had 74% |
| Athletico Paranaense 0–2 Gremio | 0.86–2.20 | 13% · 19% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Internacional 1–1 Palmeiras | 1.57–1.43 | 41% · 24% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cruzeiro 1–2 Fortaleza EC | 0.82–1.23 | 25% · 30% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.