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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 24.4 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC 1–0 Criciuma | 1.90–0.93 | 60% · 22% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Cuiaba 1–3 Gremio | 0.51–1.36 | 14% · 28% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Cruzeiro 0–0 Atlético Mineiro | 0.29–0.64 | 14% · 47% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vasco da Gama 2–0 Fluminense | 1.22–0.85 | 45% · 30% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Corinthians 1–1 RB Bragantino | 1.38–1.21 | 41% · 26% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Juventude 3–2 Botafogo | 1.85–1.82 | 40% · 22% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Bahia 2–0 Vitoria | 0.64–0.97 | 23% · 34% · 42% | Won against the xG: Bahia |
| Flamengo 1–1 Palmeiras | 1.00–1.28 | 29% · 28% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sao Paulo 1–0 Atletico Goianiense | 2.05–0.67 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Internacional 2–2 Athletico Paranaense | 2.54–1.31 | 64% · 18% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Internacional had 64% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.