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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 21.7 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense 2–1 Vasco da Gama | 1.31–1.91 | 26% · 22% · 51% | Won against the xG: Fluminense |
| Gremio 1–0 Cuiaba | 0.63–1.39 | 17% · 28% · 55% | Won against the xG: Gremio |
| RB Bragantino 1–0 Corinthians | 0.45–1.20 | 14% · 31% · 55% | Won against the xG: RB Bragantino |
| Atlético Mineiro 3–0 Cruzeiro | 1.13–0.85 | 42% · 31% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Vitoria 2–2 Bahia | 1.69–2.54 | 25% · 19% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Bahia had 56% |
| Palmeiras 0–0 Flamengo | 0.40–0.24 | 27% · 58% · 15% | Draw in line with xG |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–0 Internacional | 0.38–0.27 | 25% · 58% · 17% | Close call, Athletico Paranaense won |
| Botafogo 5–1 Juventude | 2.96–0.33 | 89% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Atletico Goianiense 0–3 Sao Paulo | 0.24–1.66 | 5% · 22% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Criciuma 1–1 Fortaleza EC | 0.48–1.62 | 11% · 24% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Fortaleza EC had 66% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.