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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 21.2 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco da Gama 0–4 Criciuma | 2.02–1.95 | 41% · 21% · 38% | Close call, Criciuma won |
| Cuiaba 0–3 Atlético Mineiro | 0.25–2.15 | 3% · 15% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Bahia 1–0 Gremio | 1.16–0.12 | 64% · 32% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Flamengo 0–2 Botafogo | 0.82–1.01 | 29% · 32% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Cruzeiro 3–1 Vitoria | 1.20–0.30 | 60% · 31% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Corinthians 3–0 Fluminense | 1.23–0.38 | 58% · 30% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Fortaleza EC 1–1 RB Bragantino | 1.68–0.48 | 67% · 23% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Fortaleza EC had 67% |
| Juventude 1–1 Athletico Paranaense | 1.17–1.28 | 34% · 27% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Internacional 1–1 Atletico Goianiense | 1.92–0.34 | 76% · 18% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Internacional had 76% |
| Sao Paulo 0–0 Palmeiras | 0.87–0.83 | 34% · 34% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.