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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 27.0 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense 2–2 Atlético Mineiro | 1.81–1.28 | 50% · 23% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| RB Bragantino 1–1 Flamengo | 0.65–1.77 | 13% · 22% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 64% |
| Corinthians 0–0 Fortaleza EC | 1.85–1.10 | 55% · 23% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Corinthians had 55% |
| Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo | 0.25–2.96 | 2% · 8% · 91% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–0 Vasco da Gama | 2.32–0.50 | 78% · 15% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Botafogo 1–2 Bahia | 0.88–2.78 | 9% · 14% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Cuiaba 0–2 Palmeiras | 0.39–1.80 | 7% · 21% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Juventude 1–0 Atletico Goianiense | 1.25–1.66 | 29% · 24% · 47% | Won against the xG: Juventude |
| Cruzeiro 0–0 Internacional | 1.65–0.02 | 80% · 19% · 0% | Draw against the xG: Cruzeiro had 80% |
| Gremio 1–2 Criciuma | 1.28–0.77 | 49% · 29% · 22% | Won against the xG: Criciuma |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.