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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 27.1 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo 2–0 Corinthians | 1.70–1.75 | 38% · 22% · 40% | Close call, Flamengo won |
| Palmeiras 0–2 Athletico Paranaense | 1.99–0.86 | 64% · 21% · 15% | Won against the xG: Athletico Paranaense |
| Fortaleza EC 1–1 Botafogo | 0.61–0.58 | 30% · 42% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atletico Goianiense 0–1 Cruzeiro | 1.48–0.53 | 61% · 26% · 13% | Won against the xG: Cruzeiro |
| Bahia 1–0 RB Bragantino | 0.78–0.50 | 39% · 40% · 21% | Close call, Bahia won |
| Vasco da Gama 2–1 Vitoria | 1.69–1.68 | 39% · 23% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Sao Paulo 2–1 Fluminense | 1.77–0.59 | 66% · 22% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Criciuma 2–5 Cuiaba | 1.78–1.47 | 45% · 23% · 32% | Close call, Cuiaba won |
| Internacional 2–1 Juventude | 3.42–0.72 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Atlético Mineiro 2–1 Gremio | 1.83–1.40 | 48% · 23% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.