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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 23.7 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio 0–2 RB Bragantino | 0.82–1.36 | 23% · 28% · 50% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Vitoria 0–2 Atletico Goianiense | 0.58–1.36 | 16% · 28% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Goianiense |
| Fluminense 1–1 Juventude | 2.34–1.30 | 61% · 19% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Fluminense had 61% |
| Cuiaba 0–1 Internacional | 0.44–1.05 | 15% · 34% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Corinthians 0–1 Botafogo | 0.77–1.10 | 25% · 32% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–1 Bahia | 0.97–0.41 | 49% · 36% · 15% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vasco da Gama 1–6 Flamengo | 0.09–3.86 | 0% · 3% · 97% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Criciuma 1–2 Palmeiras | 1.25–2.88 | 14% · 15% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Sao Paulo 2–0 Cruzeiro | 0.57–0.60 | 28% · 43% · 30% | Close call, Sao Paulo won |
| Fortaleza EC 1–0 Athletico Paranaense | 1.27–0.71 | 50% · 29% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.