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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 28.6 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo 2–1 Mirassol | 1.34–2.15 | 23% · 21% · 56% | Won against the xG: Flamengo |
| Sao Paulo 2–0 Vitoria | 2.53–0.33 | 85% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| RB Bragantino 1–3 Internacional | 1.35–2.69 | 17% · 17% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Fortaleza EC 0–5 Botafogo | 0.39–1.94 | 6% · 19% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Bahia 3–3 Fluminense | 1.48–0.53 | 61% · 26% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Bahia had 61% |
| Vasco da Gama 1–1 Atlético Mineiro | 1.73–0.99 | 55% · 24% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Vasco da Gama had 55% |
| Palmeiras 2–1 Ceara | 1.44–0.32 | 66% · 26% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Cruzeiro 1–2 Santos | 2.40–1.73 | 53% · 19% · 28% | Won against the xG: Santos |
| Gremio 0–1 Sport Recife | 1.37–1.52 | 34% · 25% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Sport Recife |
| Juventude 2–1 Corinthians | 1.62–0.76 | 58% · 25% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.