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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 25.4 xG (1.26 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense 2–1 Fortaleza EC | 0.92–1.95 | 17% · 21% · 61% | Won against the xG: Fluminense |
| Ceara 1–0 RB Bragantino | 0.64–0.21 | 41% · 49% · 11% | Close call, Ceara won |
| Vitoria 2–2 Juventude | 2.39–1.87 | 50% · 19% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sport Recife 2–2 Sao Paulo | 0.72–1.61 | 17% · 25% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Sao Paulo had 59% |
| Corinthians 1–2 Bahia | 2.26–1.05 | 65% · 19% · 16% | Won against the xG: Bahia |
| Santos 0–6 Vasco da Gama | 0.63–1.98 | 11% · 20% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–3 Gremio | 0.24–1.06 | 8% · 35% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Internacional 1–3 Flamengo | 1.40–1.32 | 39% · 26% · 35% | Close call, Flamengo won |
| Botafogo 0–1 Palmeiras | 1.53–1.05 | 48% · 26% · 26% | Won against the xG: Palmeiras |
| Mirassol 1–1 Cruzeiro | 1.35–1.19 | 40% · 27% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.