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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 24.2 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians 1–0 Atlético Mineiro | 1.38–0.23 | 67% · 27% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Cruzeiro 1–0 Fortaleza EC | 1.68–0.98 | 54% · 24% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Flamengo 3–2 Palmeiras | 1.74–1.19 | 50% · 24% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Mirassol 3–0 Sao Paulo | 2.97–0.45 | 87% · 9% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Internacional 2–0 Sport Recife | 1.69–1.00 | 54% · 24% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Ceara 0–2 Botafogo | 0.93–1.36 | 26% · 28% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Bahia 4–0 Gremio | 2.50–0.76 | 75% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Juventude 1–0 RB Bragantino | 0.84–0.20 | 50% · 42% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Vasco da Gama 2–0 Fluminense | 0.98–0.57 | 44% · 35% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Santos 0–1 Vitoria | 0.90–1.87 | 18% · 22% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Vitoria |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.