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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 21.9 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mineiro 1–0 Ceara | 0.22–1.54 | 5% · 24% · 71% | Won against the xG: Atlético Mineiro |
| Vitoria 0–1 Corinthians | 1.07–1.10 | 35% · 29% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Fluminense 1–0 Internacional | 2.06–0.76 | 68% · 20% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Sport Recife 1–2 Mirassol | 0.36–0.73 | 16% · 43% · 40% | Close call, Mirassol won |
| Fortaleza EC 1–0 Flamengo | 0.76–1.08 | 25% · 32% · 43% | Won against the xG: Fortaleza EC |
| Sao Paulo 2–0 Bahia | 1.30–0.95 | 45% · 28% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Botafogo 2–2 Santos | 1.65–1.47 | 42% · 24% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gremio 3–1 Juventude | 2.57–0.33 | 86% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| RB Bragantino 0–3 Vasco da Gama | 0.61–1.79 | 12% · 22% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Palmeiras 0–0 Cruzeiro | 0.59–0.95 | 22% · 35% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.