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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 22.6 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos 1–1 Fortaleza EC | 1.25–0.62 | 52% · 30% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Santos had 52% |
| Cruzeiro 3–1 Vitoria | 1.04–0.55 | 47% · 34% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Mirassol 0–0 Botafogo | 0.90–0.38 | 47% · 38% · 15% | Draw in line with xG |
| Flamengo 3–0 Sport Recife | 2.67–0.16 | 90% · 9% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Corinthians 2–0 Gremio | 2.79–0.86 | 77% · 14% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Bahia 2–1 RB Bragantino | 1.58–0.76 | 57% · 25% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Ceara 2–0 Fluminense | 1.12–0.29 | 57% · 33% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Ceara |
| Internacional 0–0 Atlético Mineiro | 1.83–0.27 | 76% · 19% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Internacional had 76% |
| Juventude 0–2 Palmeiras | 0.85–0.94 | 31% · 33% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Vasco da Gama 0–2 Sao Paulo | 1.83–1.91 | 38% · 21% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.