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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 24.6 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino 2–1 Corinthians | 2.14–0.43 | 77% · 16% · 6% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Vitoria 1–0 Internacional | 1.04–0.77 | 41% · 32% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Vitoria |
| Sport Recife 0–2 Juventude | 0.94–1.77 | 20% · 23% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Botafogo 3–0 Vasco da Gama | 2.83–0.98 | 76% · 14% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Atlético Mineiro 3–0 Bahia | 1.30–0.67 | 52% · 29% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Gremio 0–1 Cruzeiro | 1.29–0.62 | 53% · 29% · 18% | Won against the xG: Cruzeiro |
| Sao Paulo 2–2 Flamengo | 0.89–1.72 | 19% · 24% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 57% |
| Fluminense 1–0 Mirassol | 2.09–1.45 | 52% · 21% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Ceara 1–1 Fortaleza EC | 0.75–0.47 | 38% · 41% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Palmeiras 2–0 Santos | 2.10–0.39 | 78% · 17% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.