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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 27.3 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife 2–4 Atlético Mineiro | 0.40–2.36 | 5% · 14% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Vasco da Gama 1–3 Juventude | 1.45–1.80 | 31% · 23% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Internacional 2–2 Bahia | 1.93–2.29 | 33% · 20% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sao Paulo 0–1 RB Bragantino | 0.62–1.22 | 19% · 30% · 51% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Corinthians 0–1 Ceara | 1.09–0.43 | 52% · 33% · 15% | Won against the xG: Ceara |
| Cruzeiro 0–0 Fluminense | 0.98–0.37 | 50% · 36% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Cruzeiro had 50% |
| Vitoria 0–0 Botafogo | 1.05–0.80 | 41% · 32% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Flamengo 3–2 Santos | 2.60–1.95 | 52% · 19% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Mirassol 2–1 Palmeiras | 1.48–1.14 | 45% · 26% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Fortaleza EC 2–2 Gremio | 1.04–2.28 | 16% · 19% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Gremio had 65% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.