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10 of 10 matches with xG: 37 goals from 29.9 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo 3–2 Sport Recife | 2.55–1.19 | 67% · 17% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Fluminense 2–1 Flamengo | 1.75–1.54 | 43% · 23% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Gremio 2–0 Vasco da Gama | 1.84–0.26 | 77% · 19% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Santos 1–1 Mirassol | 1.71–1.39 | 45% · 24% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Juventude 3–3 Cruzeiro | 1.61–1.78 | 35% · 23% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bahia 2–3 Fortaleza EC | 2.96–1.87 | 60% · 17% · 23% | Won against the xG: Fortaleza EC |
| Corinthians 3–1 Sao Paulo | 1.69–0.33 | 72% · 22% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Ceara 1–2 Internacional | 0.34–0.68 | 16% · 45% · 39% | Close call, Internacional won |
| RB Bragantino 4–0 Vitoria | 2.21–0.35 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Atlético Mineiro 0–3 Palmeiras | 1.84–1.99 | 36% · 21% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.