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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 21.7 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo 3–2 Gremio | 2.19–1.36 | 56% · 20% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Flamengo 3–0 RB Bragantino | 2.35–0.33 | 83% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense | 0.76–0.95 | 28% · 34% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bahia 1–0 Vasco da Gama | 2.33–0.35 | 82% · 14% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Sao Paulo 2–1 Juventude | 1.55–1.14 | 47% · 25% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Sport Recife 1–3 Vitoria | 0.62–0.72 | 27% · 39% · 33% | Close call, Vitoria won |
| Cruzeiro 3–0 Corinthians | 1.92–0.28 | 78% · 18% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Mirassol 3–0 Ceara | 0.40–0.89 | 16% · 38% · 46% | Won against the xG: Mirassol |
| Internacional 1–1 Santos | 1.50–0.19 | 71% · 24% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Internacional had 71% |
| Fortaleza EC 1–0 Atlético Mineiro | 1.26–0.61 | 52% · 30% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.