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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 25.8 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo 4–1 Cruzeiro | 2.01–1.52 | 49% · 22% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Coritiba 1–1 Fluminense | 0.68–1.37 | 19% · 28% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Fluminense had 53% |
| Vasco da Gama 1–2 Botafogo | 2.41–1.19 | 64% · 18% · 17% | Won against the xG: Botafogo |
| Chapecoense 1–1 Vitoria | 2.15–1.45 | 54% · 21% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Chapecoense had 54% |
| Atlético Mineiro 2–1 Athletico Paranaense | 1.29–0.43 | 58% · 29% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Flamengo 3–1 Santos | 2.29–0.77 | 72% · 17% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Bahia 1–2 Palmeiras | 1.21–0.29 | 60% · 31% · 9% | Won against the xG: Palmeiras |
| Corinthians 0–1 Internacional | 1.35–0.37 | 62% · 28% · 10% | Won against the xG: Internacional |
| Mirassol 0–1 RB Bragantino | 0.59–1.82 | 11% · 22% · 67% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Gremio 0–0 Remo | 0.70–1.92 | 13% · 21% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Remo had 66% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.