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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 21.1 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Remo 1–1 Vasco da Gama | 0.71–1.25 | 21% · 30% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vitoria 2–0 Sao Paulo | 1.03–0.67 | 43% · 33% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Vitoria |
| Mirassol 1–2 Bahia | 1.16–1.93 | 23% · 22% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Santos 1–0 Atlético Mineiro | 1.32–0.73 | 51% · 29% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Internacional 0–0 Gremio | 0.89–0.22 | 51% · 40% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Internacional had 51% |
| Athletico Paranaense 2–0 Chapecoense | 1.23–0.18 | 65% · 30% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Botafogo 2–2 Coritiba | 1.51–1.04 | 48% · 26% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fluminense 1–2 Flamengo | 1.12–2.30 | 17% · 19% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Corinthians 0–0 Palmeiras | 0.55–0.67 | 25% · 41% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cruzeiro 2–1 RB Bragantino | 2.03–0.59 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.