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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 21.3 xG (1.36 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense 1–4 Botafogo | 0.26–1.11 | 9% · 33% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Vasco da Gama 2–1 Sao Paulo | 2.18–2.39 | 37% · 19% · 44% | Close call, Vasco da Gama won |
| Vitoria 0–0 Corinthians | 0.65–0.18 | 42% · 49% · 9% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cruzeiro 2–0 Gremio | 1.85–0.48 | 71% · 20% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Internacional 1–2 Mirassol | 1.23–1.63 | 29% · 24% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Coritiba 2–0 Atlético Mineiro | 1.04–1.15 | 33% · 29% · 38% | Close call, Coritiba won |
| Santos 2–3 Fluminense | 1.30–0.64 | 53% · 29% · 18% | Won against the xG: Fluminense |
| RB Bragantino 4–2 Remo | 1.53–0.45 | 64% · 25% · 11% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Palmeiras 1–0 Athletico Paranaense | 0.41–0.33 | 26% · 54% · 20% | Close call, Palmeiras won |
| Flamengo 2–0 Bahia | 1.91–0.56 | 70% · 20% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.