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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 23.4 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia 2–2 Santos | 1.20–2.13 | 21% · 21% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Santos had 59% |
| Botafogo 2–2 Internacional | 1.36–0.31 | 64% · 28% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Botafogo had 64% |
| Remo 0–1 Cruzeiro | 0.76–0.25 | 45% · 44% · 11% | Won against the xG: Cruzeiro |
| Sao Paulo 1–0 Mirassol | 1.02–1.09 | 33% · 30% · 37% | Close call, Sao Paulo won |
| Corinthians 1–0 Vasco da Gama | 0.55–1.09 | 18% · 33% · 49% | Won against the xG: Corinthians |
| Gremio 1–0 Coritiba | 1.20–0.65 | 49% · 31% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Athletico Paranaense 3–1 Vitoria | 3.64–0.65 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| RB Bragantino 0–1 Palmeiras | 1.04–0.46 | 50% · 34% · 16% | Won against the xG: Palmeiras |
| Atlético Mineiro 0–4 Flamengo | 0.91–2.25 | 14% · 19% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Fluminense 2–1 Chapecoense | 2.47–0.41 | 83% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.