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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 28.0 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo 1–2 Remo | 1.37–1.94 | 27% · 22% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Remo |
| Palmeiras 1–1 Santos | 2.25–1.07 | 64% · 19% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Palmeiras had 64% |
| Vitoria 4–1 Coritiba | 2.06–0.63 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Vitoria |
| Athletico Paranaense 0–0 Gremio | 0.99–0.89 | 37% · 32% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cruzeiro 1–3 Atlético Mineiro | 1.31–1.74 | 29% · 23% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Flamengo 2–2 Vasco da Gama | 2.14–1.53 | 52% · 21% · 28% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 52% |
| Sao Paulo 2–2 Bahia | 2.14–1.92 | 44% · 20% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chapecoense 1–2 RB Bragantino | 1.44–0.52 | 60% · 27% · 13% | Won against the xG: RB Bragantino |
| Internacional 2–0 Fluminense | 1.78–0.90 | 58% · 23% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Mirassol 2–1 Corinthians | 0.99–0.39 | 50% · 36% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.