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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 25.2 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba 2–2 Internacional | 0.42–3.15 | 3% · 8% · 89% | Draw against the xG: Internacional had 89% |
| Fluminense 2–2 Vitoria | 1.05–1.44 | 28% · 26% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro | 1.12–1.52 | 28% · 26% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–1 Botafogo | 0.92–1.69 | 20% · 24% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Botafogo had 56% |
| Remo 1–1 Palmeiras | 0.97–1.21 | 29% · 29% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Corinthians 3–2 Sao Paulo | 1.37–1.05 | 44% · 27% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Mirassol 1–1 Chapecoense | 1.13–0.42 | 54% · 33% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Mirassol had 54% |
| Santos 2–0 RB Bragantino | 1.26–0.68 | 50% · 30% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Gremio 0–1 Flamengo | 0.26–2.71 | 2% · 9% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Vasco da Gama 1–0 Athletico Paranaense | 2.22–0.66 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.