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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 24.9 xG (1.29 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mineiro 3–1 Mirassol | 2.54–0.87 | 74% · 16% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Internacional 4–1 Vasco da Gama | 1.11–0.41 | 53% · 33% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Fluminense 2–1 Sao Paulo | 1.48–0.92 | 50% · 26% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Palmeiras 1–1 Cruzeiro | 0.93–0.46 | 46% · 37% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| Santos 0–3 Coritiba | 1.73–2.13 | 32% · 21% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Coritiba |
| Bahia 1–1 Gremio | 2.09–0.16 | 83% · 14% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Bahia had 83% |
| Botafogo 3–1 Corinthians | 0.82–1.11 | 27% · 31% · 42% | Won against the xG: Botafogo |
| RB Bragantino 2–0 Vitoria | 2.40–0.27 | 85% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Chapecoense 2–3 Remo | 1.91–1.09 | 56% · 22% · 21% | Won against the xG: Remo |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–1 Flamengo | 1.01–1.42 | 27% · 27% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.