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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 26.4 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo 1–1 Botafogo | 1.63–0.77 | 58% · 25% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Sao Paulo had 58% |
| Vitoria 2–0 Internacional | 0.76–2.01 | 13% · 20% · 67% | Won against the xG: Vitoria |
| Gremio 3–2 Santos | 1.92–1.27 | 53% · 22% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Mirassol 1–0 Fluminense | 0.51–0.60 | 25% · 44% · 31% | Close call, Mirassol won |
| Flamengo 0–3 Palmeiras | 1.07–0.89 | 39% · 31% · 30% | Close call, Palmeiras won |
| Cruzeiro 2–1 Chapecoense | 2.75–0.64 | 81% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Remo 1–2 Athletico Paranaense | 0.34–1.97 | 5% · 18% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Corinthians 1–0 Atlético Mineiro | 0.56–1.69 | 12% · 23% · 65% | Won against the xG: Corinthians |
| Vasco da Gama 0–3 RB Bragantino | 1.39–3.29 | 13% · 13% · 74% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Coritiba 3–2 Bahia | 0.96–1.38 | 26% · 27% · 47% | Won against the xG: Coritiba |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.