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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 22.4 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico Paranaense 1–0 Mirassol | 1.24–0.53 | 54% · 30% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Flamengo 3–0 Coritiba | 1.46–0.83 | 52% · 27% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Bahia 2–1 Botafogo | 2.46–1.00 | 69% · 17% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Gremio 1–3 Corinthians | 1.50–1.89 | 31% · 22% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Santos 3–1 Vitoria | 0.62–0.98 | 23% · 34% · 43% | Won against the xG: Santos |
| RB Bragantino 3–1 Internacional | 1.73–0.93 | 56% · 24% · 20% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Palmeiras 1–0 Chapecoense | 0.65–1.20 | 20% · 31% · 49% | Won against the xG: Palmeiras |
| Vasco da Gama 0–1 Atlético Mineiro | 1.22–0.49 | 54% · 31% · 15% | Won against the xG: Atlético Mineiro |
| Cruzeiro 1–1 Fluminense | 1.23–0.69 | 49% · 30% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Remo 1–0 Sao Paulo | 0.76–1.04 | 26% · 32% · 41% | Won against the xG: Remo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.