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9 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 22.0 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo 2–1 Santos | 2.46–2.62 | 38% · 18% · 44% | Close call, Botafogo won |
| Vitoria 1–0 Vasco da Gama | 0.52–0.77 | 22% · 40% · 38% | Won against the xG: Vitoria |
| Fluminense 1–1 RB Bragantino | 1.56–0.89 | 53% · 25% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Fluminense had 53% |
| Mirassol 2–1 Gremio | 1.38–0.52 | 58% · 28% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Coritiba 1–3 Palmeiras | 0.66–0.71 | 29% · 39% · 32% | Close call, Palmeiras won |
| Chapecoense 0–4 Flamengo | 0.98–0.86 | 37% · 32% · 31% | Close call, Flamengo won |
| Internacional 1–2 Cruzeiro | 1.74–1.79 | 38% · 22% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Sao Paulo 1–2 Athletico Paranaense | 0.94–1.79 | 20% · 23% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Corinthians 3–0 Remo | 1.67–0.17 | 76% · 21% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.