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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 23.9 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico Paranaense 2–0 Internacional | 2.92–1.15 | 73% · 14% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Santos 2–2 Chapecoense | 1.74–0.86 | 58% · 23% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Santos had 58% |
| Vasco da Gama 1–1 Mirassol | 1.83–0.84 | 61% · 22% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Vasco da Gama had 61% |
| Bahia 1–1 Corinthians | 0.47–0.17 | 33% · 57% · 10% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cruzeiro 0–1 Botafogo | 1.59–0.40 | 67% · 24% · 9% | Won against the xG: Botafogo |
| RB Bragantino 0–0 Coritiba | 0.90–0.38 | 47% · 38% · 15% | Draw in line with xG |
| Flamengo 1–1 Sao Paulo | 2.01–0.50 | 73% · 19% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 73% |
| Gremio 1–1 Fluminense | 1.28–1.07 | 41% · 28% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Palmeiras 1–2 Atlético Mineiro | 1.79–1.99 | 35% · 21% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Remo 2–0 Vitoria | 0.73–1.31 | 21% · 29% · 50% | Won against the xG: Remo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.