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9 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 20.9 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional 1–1 Flamengo | 1.38–1.45 | 36% · 25% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mirassol 2–1 Remo | 1.47–0.80 | 53% · 27% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Fluminense 0–0 Bahia | 2.25–0.43 | 79% · 15% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Fluminense had 79% |
| Vitoria 0–4 Palmeiras | 0.49–1.43 | 13% · 27% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Corinthians 0–0 Athletico Paranaense | 1.35–0.68 | 53% · 28% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Corinthians had 53% |
| Coritiba 0–1 Cruzeiro | 1.25–2.24 | 20% · 20% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Botafogo 3–2 Gremio | 0.89–0.57 | 41% · 37% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Sao Paulo 1–2 Santos | 1.83–0.60 | 67% · 21% · 11% | Won against the xG: Santos |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–0 RB Bragantino | 0.50–1.27 | 15% · 30% · 56% | Won against the xG: Atlético Mineiro |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.