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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 22.2 xG (1.40 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo 3–2 Mirassol | 2.38–0.98 | 68% · 18% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Internacional 1–1 Sao Paulo | 1.02–0.90 | 37% · 32% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bahia 3–0 Athletico Paranaense | 1.16–0.56 | 51% · 32% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Cruzeiro 3–0 Vitoria | 1.97–0.12 | 83% · 15% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Coritiba 1–1 Vasco da Gama | 1.49–0.49 | 62% · 26% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Coritiba had 62% |
| Fluminense 3–1 Corinthians | 1.84–0.57 | 68% · 21% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Chapecoense 0–4 Atlético Mineiro | 1.82–1.74 | 41% · 22% · 37% | Close call, Atlético Mineiro won |
| Santos 2–0 Remo | 1.33–0.43 | 60% · 29% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| RB Bragantino 3–0 Flamengo | 1.85–0.28 | 76% · 19% · 5% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Palmeiras 2–1 Gremio | 0.64–0.59 | 31% · 41% · 28% | Close call, Palmeiras won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.