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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 20.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino 1–2 Botafogo | 1.45–1.18 | 43% · 26% · 31% | Close call, Botafogo won |
| Fluminense 1–0 Atlético Mineiro | 0.71–1.69 | 15% · 24% · 61% | Won against the xG: Fluminense |
| Sao Paulo 0–1 Palmeiras | 0.04–0.13 | 3% · 85% · 12% | Close call, Palmeiras won |
| Athletico Paranaense 2–0 Coritiba | 0.86–0.13 | 53% · 41% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Cruzeiro 0–0 Santos | 1.11–0.12 | 63% · 33% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Cruzeiro had 63% |
| Remo 4–1 Bahia | 1.51–1.40 | 40% · 25% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Remo |
| Vasco da Gama 2–1 Gremio | 1.48–0.55 | 60% · 26% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Internacional 2–0 Chapecoense | 3.83–0.46 | 93% · 5% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Vitoria 1–0 Mirassol | 0.88–0.97 | 31% · 32% · 36% | Close call, Vitoria won |
| Corinthians 1–1 Flamengo | 1.31–0.36 | 61% · 29% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Corinthians had 61% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.