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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 30.1 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino 1–0 Atlético Mineiro | 1.51–0.36 | 66% · 25% · 9% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Flamengo 1–1 Internacional | 1.82–0.76 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 63% |
| Remo 2–2 Mirassol | 1.31–1.77 | 28% · 23% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Santos 1–1 Sao Paulo | 1.18–0.64 | 49% · 31% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gremio 5–3 Botafogo | 3.17–1.13 | 77% · 13% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Palmeiras 5–1 Vitoria | 2.01–0.80 | 66% · 20% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Bahia 1–1 Fluminense | 1.20–2.02 | 22% · 21% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Fluminense had 56% |
| Vasco da Gama 1–1 Chapecoense | 4.77–0.32 | 98% · 2% · 0% | Draw against the xG: Vasco da Gama had 98% |
| Cruzeiro 1–2 Coritiba | 0.94–2.13 | 16% · 20% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Coritiba |
| Athletico Paranaense 0–1 Corinthians | 2.10–0.12 | 85% · 14% · 2% | Won against the xG: Corinthians |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.