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9 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 29.4 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria 1–2 Flamengo | 1.83–0.77 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Won against the xG: Flamengo |
| Chapecoense 3–3 Coritiba | 1.74–1.95 | 35% · 22% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mirassol 2–2 Cruzeiro | 2.34–1.60 | 54% · 20% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Mirassol had 54% |
| Atlético Mineiro 3–3 Remo | 2.66–2.12 | 50% · 18% · 31% | Draw against the xG: Atlético Mineiro had 50% |
| Sao Paulo 2–0 Gremio | 4.38–0.31 | 97% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Vasco da Gama 0–1 Bahia | 1.49–0.37 | 66% · 25% · 9% | Won against the xG: Bahia |
| Athletico Paranaense 2–1 Santos | 2.08–0.73 | 69% · 19% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Fluminense 1–0 Botafogo | 1.66–0.32 | 71% · 22% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Internacional 1–3 Palmeiras | 2.15–0.91 | 66% · 19% · 15% | Won against the xG: Palmeiras |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.