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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 26.8 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense 2–1 Remo | 1.24–0.34 | 60% · 30% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Internacional 0–0 Atlético Mineiro | 1.20–0.84 | 44% · 30% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cruzeiro 2–1 Flamengo | 1.05–1.24 | 31% · 28% · 41% | Close call, Cruzeiro won |
| RB Bragantino 1–0 Gremio | 2.86–0.48 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Palmeiras 4–1 Vasco da Gama | 1.74–2.15 | 32% · 21% · 48% | Close call, Palmeiras won |
| Vitoria 0–2 Bahia | 0.52–4.32 | 1% · 4% · 95% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Chapecoense 1–0 Sao Paulo | 0.64–1.81 | 13% · 22% · 66% | Won against the xG: Chapecoense |
| Santos 1–1 Mirassol | 1.46–0.27 | 68% · 25% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Santos had 68% |
| Coritiba 2–1 Corinthians | 0.41–0.68 | 19% · 44% · 37% | Won against the xG: Coritiba |
| Botafogo 2–3 Athletico Paranaense | 2.75–0.83 | 77% · 14% · 9% | Won against the xG: Athletico Paranaense |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.