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10 of 10 matches with xG: 36 goals from 30.1 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mineiro 2–1 Vitoria | 1.46–0.64 | 57% · 27% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Sao Paulo 2–1 RB Bragantino | 1.55–0.47 | 64% · 25% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Vasco da Gama 3–1 Cruzeiro | 3.24–0.63 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Athletico Paranaense 3–3 Fluminense | 1.92–0.56 | 70% · 20% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Athletico Paranaense had 70% |
| Corinthians 0–1 Santos | 0.85–1.16 | 27% · 30% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Flamengo 3–0 Botafogo | 1.70–0.79 | 59% · 24% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Gremio 3–1 Chapecoense | 0.67–2.81 | 6% · 12% · 81% | Won against the xG: Gremio |
| Mirassol 1–1 Palmeiras | 0.75–1.52 | 18% · 26% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Palmeiras had 56% |
| Bahia 3–2 Internacional | 2.39–1.69 | 53% · 19% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Remo 2–3 Coritiba | 3.27–2.08 | 61% · 16% · 23% | Won against the xG: Coritiba |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.