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9 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 27.3 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino 2–3 Bahia | 1.65–2.36 | 27% · 20% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Sao Paulo 2–0 Atlético Mineiro | 1.78–0.65 | 65% · 22% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Coritiba 1–2 Mirassol | 1.88–2.04 | 36% · 21% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Cruzeiro 3–1 Athletico Paranaense | 3.07–1.31 | 73% · 14% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Internacional 2–3 Santos | 1.29–1.36 | 35% · 26% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Remo 0–1 Flamengo | 0.44–2.10 | 7% · 17% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Botafogo 0–0 Palmeiras | 1.10–1.11 | 35% · 29% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Corinthians 1–2 Chapecoense | 2.12–0.95 | 64% · 20% · 16% | Won against the xG: Chapecoense |
| Vitoria 1–0 Gremio | 1.67–0.45 | 68% · 23% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Vitoria |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.