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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 23.1 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol 2–2 Santos | 1.50–1.73 | 34% · 23% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–0 Internacional | 0.68–1.82 | 13% · 22% · 65% | Won against the xG: Atlético Mineiro |
| Bahia 1–1 Vitoria | 1.97–0.43 | 74% · 19% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Bahia had 74% |
| Corinthians 0–2 Coritiba | 0.67–0.56 | 33% · 41% · 26% | Close call, Coritiba won |
| Flamengo 2–0 Cruzeiro | 1.24–0.57 | 53% · 30% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Remo 0–2 Fluminense | 0.68–1.60 | 16% · 25% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Vasco da Gama 2–1 Palmeiras | 1.50–0.71 | 56% · 26% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Sao Paulo 2–0 Chapecoense | 1.53–0.57 | 61% · 25% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Gremio 1–1 RB Bragantino | 1.56–1.66 | 36% · 23% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Athletico Paranaense 4–1 Botafogo | 1.34–0.81 | 49% · 28% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.