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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 18.2 xG (1.43 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria 2–0 Atlético Mineiro | 0.33–0.99 | 12% · 36% · 52% | Won against the xG: Vitoria |
| Botafogo 0–3 Flamengo | 0.75–1.38 | 20% · 28% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Fluminense 3–2 Athletico Paranaense | 2.02–0.54 | 72% · 19% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Internacional 0–1 Bahia | 1.80–0.85 | 60% · 23% · 17% | Won against the xG: Bahia |
| Santos 1–1 Corinthians | 1.03–0.33 | 53% · 35% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Santos had 53% |
| Coritiba 1–0 Remo | 0.92–0.53 | 43% · 36% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Coritiba |
| Palmeiras 1–0 Mirassol | 0.52–0.44 | 29% · 48% · 23% | Close call, Palmeiras won |
| RB Bragantino 1–2 Sao Paulo | 0.65–0.80 | 27% · 37% · 36% | Close call, Sao Paulo won |
| Cruzeiro 3–3 Vasco da Gama | 1.29–1.22 | 38% · 27% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chapecoense 1–1 Gremio | 1.11–0.69 | 45% · 32% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.