Loading the map…
12 of 12 matches with xG: 30 goals from 25.8 xG (1.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom 0–2 Southampton | 0.68–1.47 | 17% · 27% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Southampton |
| Plymouth 0–2 Leeds | 0.90–0.95 | 32% · 32% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Leeds |
| Birmingham 2–1 Sunderland | 1.41–1.27 | 40% · 26% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Birmingham |
| Bristol City 0–1 QPR | 0.60–0.90 | 23% · 36% · 41% | Win in line with xG for QPR |
| Huddersfield 1–2 Hull City | 0.49–0.43 | 28% · 49% · 24% | Close call, Hull City won |
| Leicester 1–2 Middlesbrough | 2.12–1.04 | 62% · 20% · 18% | Won against the xG: Middlesbrough |
| Millwall 0–2 Sheffield Wednesday | 0.37–1.22 | 11% · 31% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Sheffield Wednesday |
| Norwich 4–1 Cardiff | 3.25–0.42 | 90% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Norwich |
| Preston 2–2 Blackburn | 1.08–0.80 | 42% · 32% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rotherham 0–1 Watford | 1.28–0.24 | 64% · 29% · 7% | Won against the xG: Watford |
| Stoke City 0–1 Coventry | 0.57–1.43 | 15% · 27% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Coventry |
| Swansea 1–2 Ipswich | 1.33–1.58 | 32% · 25% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Ipswich |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.