Loading the map…
12 of 12 matches with xG: 31 goals from 36.4 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln 1–1 Southampton | 2.27–0.77 | 71% · 18% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Lincoln had 71% |
| Preston 2–1 Blackburn | 2.19–1.09 | 62% · 20% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Preston |
| Stoke City 4–0 Charlton | 2.14–0.61 | 73% · 18% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Stoke City |
| Burnley 1–2 Bristol City | 0.26–1.06 | 9% · 35% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Bristol City |
| Millwall 4–0 Bolton | 2.65–0.95 | 74% · 15% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Millwall |
| Portsmouth 2–0 Cardiff | 2.07–1.37 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Portsmouth |
| QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough | 1.03–2.53 | 13% · 17% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Middlesbrough |
| Sheffield Utd 1–3 Norwich | 0.79–3.04 | 7% · 11% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Norwich |
| West Brom 1–0 Watford | 1.14–1.26 | 33% · 28% · 39% | Close call, West Brom won |
| West Ham 3–0 Derby | 3.79–0.11 | 97% · 3% · 0% | Win in line with xG for West Ham |
| Swansea 0–0 Wrexham | 0.74–0.67 | 33% · 38% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Birmingham 2–2 Wolves | 1.39–2.47 | 20% · 19% · 61% | Draw against the xG: Wolves had 61% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.