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7 of 12 matches with xG: 15 goals from 21.6 xG (0.70 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion 1–3 Huddersfield | 0.11–2.92 | 1% · 7% · 93% | Win in line with xG for Huddersfield |
| Leyton Orient 0–2 Plymouth | 0.99–1.76 | 21% · 23% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Plymouth |
| Reading 1–1 Bradford | 0.67–0.85 | 27% · 36% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Luton 3–1 Doncaster | 2.30–1.08 | 65% · 19% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Luton |
| Oxford United 1–0 Stockport County | 2.10–2.52 | 33% · 19% · 48% | Close call, Oxford United won |
| Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Cambridge United | 1.73–1.72 | 39% · 22% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Wigan 0–0 Mansfield Town | 1.59–1.22 | 46% · 25% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.