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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 26.8 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford 3–1 Burnley | 3.06–0.95 | 79% · 12% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Manchester City 3–2 Leeds | 3.10–1.54 | 69% · 15% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Sunderland 3–2 Bournemouth | 1.28–1.70 | 29% · 24% · 47% | Won against the xG: Sunderland |
| Everton 1–4 Newcastle | 0.99–1.91 | 19% · 22% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Tottenham 1–2 Fulham | 0.86–0.45 | 43% · 38% · 18% | Won against the xG: Fulham |
| Crystal Palace 1–2 Manchester United | 1.83–1.19 | 52% · 23% · 25% | Won against the xG: Manchester United |
| Aston Villa 1–0 Wolves | 0.94–0.49 | 45% · 36% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Nottingham Forest 0–2 Brighton | 0.89–2.00 | 16% · 21% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Brighton |
| West Ham 0–2 Liverpool | 0.29–1.24 | 9% · 30% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal | 0.79–1.26 | 23% · 29% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.