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10 of 10 matches with xG: 33 goals from 25.9 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth 0–1 Everton | 0.50–1.44 | 13% · 27% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Everton |
| Fulham 4–5 Manchester City | 0.91–2.17 | 15% · 19% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Newcastle 2–2 Tottenham | 2.04–0.75 | 67% · 20% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Newcastle had 67% |
| Arsenal 2–0 Brentford | 1.77–0.35 | 73% · 21% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Brighton 3–4 Aston Villa | 2.21–2.41 | 37% · 19% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Burnley 0–1 Crystal Palace | 0.95–0.59 | 43% · 35% · 22% | Won against the xG: Crystal Palace |
| Wolves 0–1 Nottingham Forest | 0.91–0.74 | 38% · 34% · 28% | Close call, Nottingham Forest won |
| Leeds 3–1 Chelsea | 2.79–0.96 | 75% · 14% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Leeds |
| Liverpool 1–1 Sunderland | 1.45–0.41 | 63% · 26% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Liverpool had 63% |
| Manchester United 1–1 West Ham | 1.80–0.79 | 61% · 23% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Manchester United had 61% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.