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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 26.7 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle 2–2 Chelsea | 2.31–1.22 | 62% · 19% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Newcastle had 62% |
| Bournemouth 1–1 Burnley | 1.41–0.38 | 63% · 27% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Bournemouth had 63% |
| Brighton 0–0 Sunderland | 1.13–1.38 | 31% · 27% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Manchester City 3–0 West Ham | 2.10–0.98 | 63% · 20% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Wolves 0–2 Brentford | 1.27–1.28 | 36% · 27% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Tottenham 1–2 Liverpool | 1.07–0.66 | 45% · 33% · 22% | Won against the xG: Liverpool |
| Everton 0–1 Arsenal | 0.20–2.00 | 3% · 16% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Leeds 4–1 Crystal Palace | 2.67–1.56 | 61% · 18% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Leeds |
| Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester United | 1.54–1.33 | 42% · 25% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Aston Villa |
| Fulham 1–0 Nottingham Forest | 1.50–0.67 | 57% · 26% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.