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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 30.7 xG (0.72 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United 1–0 Newcastle | 1.27–1.18 | 39% · 27% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Manchester United |
| Nottingham Forest 1–2 Manchester City | 0.55–1.45 | 14% · 27% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Manchester City |
| Arsenal 2–1 Brighton | 3.08–0.85 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Brentford 4–1 Bournemouth | 3.66–2.72 | 57% · 15% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Burnley 0–0 Everton | 1.41–0.82 | 51% · 27% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Burnley had 51% |
| Liverpool 2–1 Wolves | 1.54–1.07 | 48% · 25% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Liverpool |
| West Ham 0–1 Fulham | 0.91–1.62 | 21% · 25% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Fulham |
| Chelsea 1–2 Aston Villa | 2.14–1.19 | 59% · 20% · 20% | Won against the xG: Aston Villa |
| Sunderland 1–1 Leeds | 0.70–2.17 | 11% · 18% · 71% | Draw against the xG: Leeds had 71% |
| Crystal Palace 0–1 Tottenham | 1.47–0.88 | 51% · 26% · 23% | Won against the xG: Tottenham |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.