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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 35.7 xG (0.64 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley 1–3 Newcastle | 1.09–2.31 | 17% · 19% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Chelsea 2–2 Bournemouth | 2.31–3.14 | 28% · 17% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Bournemouth had 55% |
| Nottingham Forest 0–2 Everton | 1.55–1.26 | 44% · 25% · 31% | Close call, Everton won |
| West Ham 2–2 Brighton | 2.06–2.94 | 26% · 17% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Brighton had 56% |
| Arsenal 4–1 Aston Villa | 3.04–2.67 | 48% · 17% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Arsenal |
| Manchester United 1–1 Wolves | 0.84–1.16 | 27% · 30% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Crystal Palace 1–1 Fulham | 1.93–1.76 | 43% · 22% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Liverpool 0–0 Leeds | 2.08–0.69 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Liverpool had 70% |
| Brentford 0–0 Tottenham | 0.92–0.86 | 35% · 33% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sunderland 0–0 Manchester City | 0.88–2.24 | 13% · 18% · 68% | Draw against the xG: Manchester City had 68% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.