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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 29.4 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham 1–2 Nottingham Forest | 0.95–1.38 | 26% · 27% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Nottingham Forest |
| Bournemouth 3–2 Tottenham | 1.27–1.25 | 37% · 27% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Bournemouth |
| Brentford 3–0 Sunderland | 3.24–1.72 | 67% · 15% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Brentford |
| Crystal Palace 0–0 Aston Villa | 1.50–1.74 | 33% · 23% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Everton 1–1 Wolves | 0.89–0.68 | 38% · 35% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fulham 2–1 Chelsea | 1.20–2.39 | 18% · 19% · 64% | Won against the xG: Fulham |
| Manchester City 1–1 Brighton | 2.35–0.81 | 72% · 17% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Manchester City had 72% |
| Burnley 2–2 Manchester United | 0.24–2.55 | 2% · 11% · 87% | Draw against the xG: Manchester United had 87% |
| Newcastle 4–3 Leeds | 2.44–1.89 | 51% · 19% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle |
| Arsenal 0–0 Liverpool | 0.57–0.31 | 34% · 49% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.