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10 of 10 matches with xG: 16 goals from 25.9 xG (0.62 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United 2–0 Manchester City | 2.27–0.45 | 79% · 15% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Manchester United |
| Chelsea 2–0 Brentford | 1.59–1.52 | 40% · 24% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Chelsea |
| Leeds 1–0 Fulham | 1.43–0.39 | 63% · 27% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Leeds |
| Liverpool 1–1 Burnley | 3.18–0.40 | 90% · 8% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Liverpool had 90% |
| Sunderland 2–1 Crystal Palace | 1.71–0.61 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Sunderland |
| Tottenham 1–2 West Ham | 1.68–2.69 | 23% · 18% · 59% | Win in line with xG for West Ham |
| Nottingham Forest 0–0 Arsenal | 0.34–2.10 | 5% · 16% · 79% | Draw against the xG: Arsenal had 79% |
| Wolves 0–0 Newcastle | 0.29–0.94 | 11% · 38% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Newcastle had 51% |
| Aston Villa 0–1 Everton | 1.44–0.51 | 60% · 27% · 13% | Won against the xG: Everton |
| Brighton 1–1 Bournemouth | 1.02–1.29 | 29% · 28% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.